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"The economy is a big, big machine, and the president is one government bureaucrat," said Ron Florance, Wells Fargo Private Bank Director of Asset Allocation.

Moreover, most analysts believe the battered stock market has nowhere to go but up next year, no matter who ends up in the White House -- and history will probably give the victor credit even if he actually had little to do with the rally.

"The timing couldn't be better," Florance said.

Still, the stock market is just one part of the economy, and under either Barack Obama or John McCain, the United States needs to recover from a downturn whose severity has not yet been determined. And either candidate will face a budget deficit of around $500 billion when he's sworn into office -- a shortfall expected to climb to $1 trillion next year.

Because of the deficit, the financial climate might end up affecting the new president's policies more than his policies will affect the financial climate.

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The Dow Jones industrial average and the broader Standard & Poor's 500 index have posted larger returns during the terms of Democratic presidents. But this statistic doesn't prove that Democratic policies boost the stock market -- the major indexes have also done better under a Republican Congress than a Democratic Congress.

Another pattern to take note of is the stock market's apparent four-year cycle, described by market historian Yale Hirsch in his Presidential Election Cycle Theory. The theory says the stock market does well in a presidential election year, badly in the year after the election and then improves until the next presidential election. This pattern has held up for most of the century, although it's being tested by the two terms of President George W. Bush.

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G.招财猫 20:00:12
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hqzj502 2008-12-26 00:07

不关我的事,我是逗大家开心的,退书

星期天,小明帮父亲守摊卖书。



顾客:“昨天,我在你们这里买了一本名为《怎样才能成为百万富翁》的书。但拿回家才发现,里面有一半的书页都被撕掉了。”



小明:“依我看,如果手中能有50万就满不错了,难道您还嫌少吗?先生。”












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查看完整版本: 大家看看这个,是哪里的电缆防盗装置?好强啊